Survival of the fittest

Leaning once again on the IPE, this time we’re looking at exactly how troubled we should be considering Palmeiras’ current situation.There are 17 rounds to go in the Brazilian Championship and Palmeiras are five points behind the first team out of the relegation zone. How have teams in a similar situation fared in previous editions of the Brasileirão? Examining all editions since 2006, the outlook is rather gloomy: out of eight teams in similar conditions only two escaped relegation, namely
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Náutico (2007): five points behind but making 29 points in the last 17 rounds.
Fluminense (2009): six points behind but escaping by summoning 30 points.
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Those who were less fortunate: Santa Cruz (2006, six points behind), Ipatinga (2008, five), Sport (2009, six), Goiás (2010, six), Atlético/PR (2011, five) and América/MG (2011, six). As you will notice, perhaps not the most impressive bunch in terms of tradition and titles, but as IPE puts it: “2002 is there to remind us that we’re giants but not infallible” and concludes “this superficial analysis indicates that we run an 75 per cent risk of going down”. Lord have mercy. Preferably starting as of tomorrow against Sport at the Pacaembu. With an advantage by two points, the team from Recife is as much a direct contender as ever possible. Tomorrow is do or die.
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— ooo —
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Palmeiras received the South African national squad both yesterday and today as the athletes are preparing for their friendly against Brazil this coming Friday. In addition to the sessions at Palmeiras’ training grounds, the South Africans also met with vice-president Roberto Frizzo, football manager Cesar Sampaio and coach Luiz Felipe Scolari; a jersey, a DVD and a book telling the history of Palmeiras were handed over to the guests.
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— ooo —
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Hernán Barcos has joined the Argentine squad and is training with the rest of the players. Upon arrival he presented Messi and coach Alejandro Sabella with personalised Palmeiras jerseys. The Argentine national squad and Palmeiras are both sponsored by Adidas. Good one, Barcos!
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